Real-time Pinnacle market intelligence

No-Vig Price (NVP)

No-Vig Price is a model estimate of fair odds after removing the bookmaker margin from all available outcomes of the same market.

Alerts
PINNSNIPE / SIGNALPublic preview
basket · Puerto Rico - Superior Nacional Women

Gigantes de Carolina – Criollos De Caguas

Full match – Totals Over 143.5

DROP ?16.39%
No-Vig Price ?1.768
Odds drop1.934 → 1.617
Kickoff17h 31m

Alert sent 28s

Alert age is elapsed time since detection. Kickoff is the scheduled start, not a confirmation that the event is live.

Power method

Compare the original and updated odds, percentage drop and No-Vig Price calculated from the available sides of the current market.

qᵢ = 1 / decimal_oddsᵢ
Find k such that Σ(qᵢᵏ) = 1
Fair probabilityᵢ = qᵢᵏ
NVPᵢ = 1 / qᵢᵏ

A falling price is a signal to investigate. NVP estimates fair odds from the current market using the power method. A price above that estimate can indicate model value; neither the estimate nor an alert guarantees a profit.

Odds drop shows the original price and the updated price. Neither implies that your bookmaker still offers the earlier price.

01

Read the reference price

Compare the original and updated odds, percentage drop and No-Vig Price calculated from the available sides of the current market.

02

Make the feed yours

Choose sport, minimum drop, post-drop odds and time to kickoff. Save named presets and select them in Telegram.

Market signals. Measured decisions.

A falling price is a signal to investigate. NVP estimates fair odds from the current market using the power method. A price above that estimate can indicate model value; neither the estimate nor an alert guarantees a profit.

Resources ↗
PinnSnipe

Bring structure to your market research.

7-day trial for eligible accounts. Payment method required. Automatic renewal at your displayed price unless cancelled. One trial per user.

Contact support

Leave a message and we will get back to you by email.